[ad_1]
Under elections, in everyday life, a series of terms always return that then we tend to forget. Exit polls, instant polls, opinion polls and screenings fall within these and, in order not to arrive unprepared for the Mentana Marathon as a rule, we wanted to explain them in this article. Let’s start with the first. As you can probably guess, the term exit poll comes from two English words: exitwhat does it mean exitAnd inwhich can be used either to indicate the seat election, both a poll. An exit poll is therefore a poll carried out between the electricians and the voters, immediately after they have voted and left the polling station.
The use of this tool has various reasons. First, elections are events of great importance and emotional impact, and many people want to know the results as quickly as possible. In addition, they are useful to the media covering their polls overnight to provide information on the direction the country has chosen to take. But most of all, as voters cast their votes anonymouslyexit polls provide important data on the composition and choices of the electorateon why and on which groups they vote in a particular way.
Accurately detected exit polls can be extremely accurate. So much so that in Italy and in many other countries it is forbidden to reveal the results of the surveys before polling stations close, to prevent them from influencing who has yet to vote. While in other countries, such as New Zealand or France, they are even banned.
In practice, exit polls consist of a survey administered to a representative sample of voters leaving the polling station, who are asked to return the vote as it has just been expressed inside the voting booth, together with some personal data and information such as age and gender. In this way, at the close of the polls, at 11pm on Sunday, you will be able to get a first idea of how the electoral competition went. According to pollsters the margin of error is usually around 2%.
The task of carrying out the surveys and processing the data is given to institutes opinion polls, that is, organizations and research centers that carry out statistical surveys on public opinion. In addition to the exit polls, which collect the vote declared when leaving the polling stations, through in-person interviews with paper and pen, there are also instant pollwhich are conducted by telephone, and the intention poll, which consist of interviews conducted in the days immediately preceding the vote. Finally, during the ballots there is also talk of projections. These are not polls, but estimates of the final outcome of the elections based on real data arriving from the polling stations during the polling operations.
.
[ad_2]
Source link
