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Victorian opposition leader Matthew Guy has conceded the Coalition has “a lot of work to do” after the party lost its third successive election to Labor’s Daniel Andrews.
While Labor’s primary vote fell about 5.6% statewide, the Coalition failed to capitalise, with the Liberal party in particular going backwards, recording a primary vote below 30%.
It was not yet certain on Saturday night whether the Coalition would be able to improve on its 2018 tally of 27 seats in Victoria’s 88-seat parliament.
The election loss is sure to trigger more soul searching within the Victorian Liberal party, which also suffered humiliating defeats at the federal election in May.
By the time the next term of government ends, the Coalition will have led Victoria for just four of the past 27 years.
While Guy did not address his leadership in conceding defeat, it seems unlikely he will stay on after two successive defeats as leader.
After calling Andrews to concede, Guy spoke for less than five minutes to a subdued crowd of supporters at the Doncaster Bowls Club, in his electorate of Bulleen.
He said it was important the state put difficulties of the past few years behind it and “come together”.
“The best of our state should be ahead of us, not behind us,” he said.
Guy pointed to the significant swings – in the double digits – against Labor in the northern and western suburbs as proof people were unhappy with the government.
“That, alone, I just say, is a message,” Guy said. “I hope that the Labor party, who will form the government, will heed that message, and will have a change in style, a change in attitude.”
Despite high hopes of capitalising on dissatisfaction with Labor’s pandemic response, the Coalition failed to claw back “must-win” seats in eastern Melbourne such as Ringwood, Box Hill and Ashwood that fell to Labor at the last election.
Despite significant swings towards them in the city’s north and west, they weren’t able to convert that to seat victories.
Outgoing Liberal MP Tim Smith said the Coalition had failed to leverage the major policy difference between the two major parties – the Suburban Rail Loop – which it had vowed to scrap and funnel available funds into health system.
“It wasn’t sold properly,” he told a Sky News panel.
Guy ended his speech by conceding the Coalition had a lot to do in order to win government in 2026.
“We’ve got a lot of work to do, we know that. But we also know that our time in the sun will come again again,” he said.
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