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Introduction: Pound highest in over 11 months against US dollar
Good morning, and welcome to our rolling coverage of business, the financial markets and the world economy.
The pound has climbed to its highest level against the dollar in almost a year, as fears over the health of the global economy and the health of US regional banks grip the markets.
Sterling hit $1.263 this morning, up half a cent, to the highest level since late May 2022. Quite a recovery since last autumn, when it plumbed record depths around $1.03 after the mini-budget shambles.

The pound is being supported by encouraging economic data this week, showing a pick-up in UK mortgage applications, service sector growth, and car sales.
The dollar has weakened despite the Federal Reserve lifting US interest rates to a 16-year high this week, with traders noting that the Fed could soon end its tightening cycle.
The Bank of England is expected to raise interest rates next Thursday, to 4.5%, with the markets now pricing in one additional hike before the end of the year.
Today’s US employment report will show if America’s jobs market is cooling. Economists predict 180,000 new jobs were created in April, which would be a slowdown on March’s 236,000.
Also coming up today
America’s banking sector remains in turmoil, after shares in several regional lenders fell again yesterday.
PacWest Bancorp shed 50% by the close of trading last night, with First Horizon losing a third of its value. Western Alliance, which firmly denied a report it was exploring a potential sale, lost almost 40%.
PacWest had sought to calm markets on Wednesday and said it was in talks with several potential investors after its shares fell by as much as 60%. But the sell-off continued on Thursday and affected other regional banks.
“We believe the banks are having their GameStop-like moment, where social media is amplifying non-traditional approaches to assessing solvency,” Jaret Seiberg, TD Cowen analyst, wrote in a note, adding:
“This creates a self-fulfilling prophecy that pressures stock prices, which then leads to more questions.”
Another bank, HSBC, will also be in the spotlight today as it holds its annual general meeting. Investors will vote on a resolution calling for a spinoff of HSBC’s Asia business, backed by top shareholder Ping An, but opposed by the bank’s board.
The agenda
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7am BST: German factory orders for March
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9.30am BST: UK construction PMI for April
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10am BST: Eurozone retail sales for March
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11am BST: HSBC’s AGM
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1.30pm BST: US jobs report for April
Key events

Julia Kollewe
The CBI has appointed the business ethics consultancy Principia Advisory to help overhaul its operations, after a series of sexual misconduct allegations reported by the Guardian.
The new head of the Confederation of British Industry, Rain Newton-Smith, has written to members to lay out its action plan, just over a week after she took the helm and apologised to the victims of sexual misconduct at the business lobby group.
Newton-Smith, a former chief economist at the CBI, who recently returned to become director general as the group fights for survival, said in the letter that she had spoken to more than 250 members in her first week.
#CBI tells members it will hold EGM at midday on June 6 and has appointed Principia Advisory, “experts in building ethical organisations,” to help it rebuild the organisation. New boss has spoken to 250 members in her first week and promises ‘listening sessions’ and survey
— Julia Kollewe (@JuliaKollewe) May 5, 2023
“With a general election looming, the voice of business urgently needs to be heard,” she wrote.
“And we are continuing to provide you with economic insights to make better decisions in these challenging economic times. I just hope that, working together, we can rebuild our culture, redefine our purpose and regain your trust so that we can help make that happen.”
The CBI has called an extraordinary general meeting for midday on 6 June. In the next four weeks, its work will be focused on its culture and purpose, Newton-Smith said.
More here:


Amid the activist protests, HSBC’s chairman urged shareholders to vote against a plan which could split the bank in two.
Mark Tucker said HSBC had considered the proposals “carefully and fully,” but felt they would destroy value at the bank.
“Last year with the benefit of expert advice from third parties, the board considered a wide range of alternative structural options for your bank in depth.
“We concluded that the alternative structural options would materially destroy value for shareholders, including putting your dividends at risk. This remains our unanimous view today.”
The resolution, to spin off the company’s Asian arm, is being backed by HSBC’s largest shareholder, Ping An.
Now @feedbackorg asks @HSBC how it can be net zero-aligned when it invests in industrial farming company JBS which has an emissions footprint larger than the whole of Spain’s 🇪🇸
They also highlight the company’s high rates of #deforestation and human rights abuses pic.twitter.com/FaGvFtiNiN
— Isabella Salkeld (@SalkeldIsabella) May 5, 2023
Several climate protesters have been removed from HSBC’s annual general meeting after a series of interruptions.
HSBC chairman Mark Tucker told shareholders:
“Thank you for your patience, security are resolving the situation.”
Protests have also sung a song, to the tune of the Village People’s YMCA, calling for a boycott on the bank.
It went like this:
“HSBC, get your money out of HSBC,”
Another man shouted:
“You are liars, we are sick of your greenwash….
You are stealing my children’s future away from them.”
Protests continued at HSBC’s AGM, with climate activists criticising the bank’s ‘greenwashing’:
A person has unfurled a banner reading “HSBC PROFITING FROM THE DESTRUCTION OF THE PLANET”, standing up against the bank’s greenwashing pic.twitter.com/3cWBVO7tcz
— Extinction Rebellion UK 🌍 (@XRebellionUK) May 5, 2023
Climate protests at HSBC AGM
Over in Birmingham, climate protesters are disrupting HSBC’s annual general meeting.
Just a few minutes in, one protester told the bank it should be ashamed of its role as an ‘financial arson organisation’.
Interrupting HSBC chair Mark Tucker’s opening address, the protester said:
I don’t know how you can sleep at night, knowing that millions of people are going to starve to death because of the investments that this bank is making.
🚨JUST NOW🚨@HSBC chair’s intro speech to the AGM disrupted by a shareholder accusing the bank of being a “chief arsonist” through its i financing of fossil fuels. pic.twitter.com/sAdcAvK5Ni
— Natasha (@natasha_ion) May 5, 2023
Barclays’ AGM was also disrupted this week, as environmental protesters put pressure on the financial community to stop funding fossil fuel projects:
US regional bank shares rally in pre-market
Shares in US regional banks are rising in pre-market trading, amid calls for a ban on short-selling to calm the crisis gripping the sector.
PacWest shares are up 9% in pre-market, a small recovery after tumbling 46% on Thursday, while Western Alliance have gained 12.7% after a 38% tumble and First Horizon, who lost 33% yesterday, are up 7%.
Today’s rally comes after Reuters reported that US federal and state officials were assessing whether “market manipulation” caused the recent volatility in banking shares.
The White House vowed to monitor “short-selling pressures on healthy banks”, and the American Bankers Association urged federal regulators to investigate a spate of significant short sales of publicly traded banking equities
In a letter to U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission Chair Gary Gensler, the ABA said it had also observed “extensive social media engagement” about the health of various banks that was out of step with general industry conditions.
Short-selling is the practice of borrowing shares, and then selling them, in the hope of buying them back at a cheaper price for a profit.
Neil Wilson of Markets.com points out that the turmoil has begun at banks who were suffering deposit flight (such as Silicon Valley Bank), but is now spreading to others.
The thinking is that the regulators ban short-selling to buy time to come up with some kind of plan to rebuild the industry.
There may need to be a ‘whatever it takes’ line in the sand moment – clearly the US authorities haven’t done that – it may be that a ban on shorting bank shares forms part of that. Remember this bank stress is just on being the wrong side of rates, we’ve not even had a recession or full credit cycle.
Things may get worse before they get better for UK house builders, warns Dr John Glen, chief economist at the Chartered Institute of Procurement & Supply (CIPS), as the Bank of England may raise interest rates again next Thursday.
Glen says:
“The mixed picture found in the UK construction industry in April is representative of an economy still trying to recalibrate after being buffeted by the manifold challenges of political instability, lockdowns and supply chain pressures.
The growth in the construction of commercial properties is welcome news, with the avoidance of a recession in the last quarter leading to clients being more willing to spend. The significant easing of supply chain disruption, with delays reduced and materials more readily available, also helped to alleviate cost pressures on the sector.
However, the sharp decline in UK house building in April will be a cause for concern, as it becomes clear that the recent interest rate rises will continue to hamper consumer demand for some time to come. With a further rate rise expected next week there will be concerns that things will get worse before they get better for UK house builders.
UK suffers fastest fall in housing activity since May 2020
Housebuilding in the UK has slowed to its lowest point since the first Covid-19 lockdowns.
The latest survey of UK construction firms has found that housing activity fell at the fastest rate since May 2020 in April.
Builders blamed delays to new house building projects, and weaker demand as higher borrowing costs hit the market.
This will fuel concerns that the UK will miss its target of building 300,000 homes a year.
But overall, construction activity rose again last month, lifted by rising volumes of commercial work and civil engineering activity.
This pushed the S&P Global / CIPS UK Construction PMI up to 51.1 in April up from March’s 50.7, showing faster growth [any reading over 50 shows expansion].
The sector has now expanded for three months running, despite the lag in housebuilding.

Tim Moore, economics director at S&P Global Market Intelligence, says the construction sector’s recovery is “worryingly lopsided”:
Commercial building work continued to outperform, helped by stabilising domestic economic conditions and a gradual rebound in business confidence. Civil engineering activity was also a driver of construction growth during April, with rising infrastructure work contributing to the best phase of expansion in this segment since the first half of 2022.
However, the return to growth for UK construction output appears worryingly lopsided as residential work decreased for the fifth successive month. Extended delays on new housing starts were reported again in April, due to a considerable headwind from elevated mortgage rates and weak demand. While there have been some signs of a recent stabilisation in market conditions, this has yet to feed through to construction activity.
In fact, the latest reduction in residential building was the fastest since May 2020.
“On a more positive note, the latest survey illustrated a further slowdown in input price inflation across the construction sector. Softer cost pressures partly reflected a sustained improvement in supply chain performance, with lead-times for deliveries of products and materials shortening to the greatest extent since September 2009.”
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