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In one of their latest reports, Eset researchers say they expect in 2023 that “the already sThe ransomware scene becomes even more aggressive and competitive, with growing tensions between individual ransomware gangs, partly also due to ideological differences and disagreements”. On the contrary, ideological propaganda becomes the cover for actions that, in the end, look at mere profit.
And what is paradoxical is that despite being faced with an escalation of tension, the Investments in cyber security have not grown in tandem. On the contrary. Enisa writes in its report that in 2022 the budgets allocated to the protection of critical infrastructures, operators of essential services and other vital activities for the daily life of a country in Europe were “significantly lower” of 2021. The post-pandemic crisis, the rise in prices but also the chronic lack of trained personnel weigh heavily. The fact is that if the average cost of a major cyber attack is 200,000 euros, more than double the previous year, the percentage of spending on cybersecurity has dropped by an average of 1%, to 6.7% of the company budget.
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Future threats
For Tumelty there are two lessons to memorize. The first is “have IT staff”, because defense requires resources. And the second is the key role of the cloud“which allowed Ukraine to store data outside the enemy’s range”. So much so that NATO is pushing for its allies to invest in the cloud for defence, to ensure continuity of data and operations, the coordination of activities in multiple domains (land, cybernetic, naval). He explained it to Wired Antonio Calderon, head of network services and IT infrastructure at NATO communications agency, Nci, at an industry event organized in Belgium last autumn: “It is one of the technologies that we believe are most important to help us develop defense systems, but it poses various challenges, from segregation of classified information to program interoperability up to the issues of data sovereignty”.
Second Zaniboni “the war has only strengthened existing attacks, with new tools and new investments in criminal groups”, while a new reason for gloom is emerging on the horizon: “Artificial intelligence is the new frontier of malware construction. And the last few weeks, with the explosion of ChatGPT, have shown us where we’ve come”.
For now the attackers are going ahead with ddos, wipers “The first major global cyber war did not show new types of weapons – write the Ukrainian experts -. The attacks were carried out using known techniques”. For Kyiv what needs to be updated are military doctrines, to adapt to this hybrid warfare, and above all the international legal definitions of aggression. To be extended to economic warfare, propaganda campaigns and the cyber offensive. An international agreement which, according to the political battle underway at the United Nations to establish the new global convention on cybercrime, seems anything but an easy goal to achieve.
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