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By Harish Sridharan
April 19 (Reuters) – Asian markets were largely subdued on Wednesday, with currencies and shares both trading slightly weaker as investors look for fresh cues on the future path of interest rates in the U.S.
Thailand’s baht THB=TH and the Singaporean dollar SGD= slipped 0.5% and 0.2%, respectively, while the yuan CNY=CFXS depreciated 0.2%. The dollar index =USD ticked up 0.2% to 101.90 in Asian trading.
St. Louis Federal Reserve chief James Bullard told Reuters the Fed should continue raising interest rates to subdue persistent inflation. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said he expects just one more quarter-point hike, followed by an extended pause.
“The market is currently pricing in the near-certainty of a 25-basis point hike, but there is really a lot of uncertainty about what follows afterwards,” said Alvin Tan, head of Asia foreign exchange strategy at RBC Capital Markets.
Investor uncertainty seeped through share markets as well. Stocks in the region largely declined, with equities in Taipei .TWII, Kuala Lumpur .KLSE and Manila .PSI falling 0.4% to 0.6%.
Shares in Shanghai .SSEC and Hong Kong .HSI fell as an uneven economic recovery after China dropped its zero-Covid policy and some contradictory macro data in the first quarter kept investor sentiment weak. .SS
Meanwhile, Thailand’s central bank said it expects average headline inflation of 2.6% over the next 12 months, within its target range of 1% to 3%.
In March, headline inflation cooled to 2.83%, returning to within the target range for the first time in 15 months.
On Tuesday, Indonesia’s central bank kept interest rates unchanged for a third consecutive meeting, predicting headline inflation would be back within its target sooner and after the rupiah IDR= strengthened significantly.
The rupiah is the best-performing currency in Asia this year, rising nearly 5%. Markets in Indonesia were closed on Wednesday.
Emerging markets such as South Korea, Singapore and India also recently paused sustained policy tightening campaigns as growth concerns took precedence over high inflation.
“A combination of the Fed’s imminent pause after May, along with a growing conviction that the U.S. dollar appears to have peaked is giving regional central banks room to turn away from hiking rates and support growth instead,” Tan said.
HIGHLIGHTS
** Malaysia’s March exports fall 1.4% year-on-year
** Thai January-February rice exports up 38% year-on-year at 1.4 millon tonnes – government official
** Indian rupee INR=IN hits over one-week low
Asia stock indexes and currencies at 0609 GMT
COUNTRY
FX RIC
FX DAILY %
FX YTD %
INDEX
STOCKS DAILY %
STOCKS YTD %
Japan
JPY=
-0.37
-2.59
.N225
-0.23
9.58
China
CNY=CFXS
-0.11
+0.23
.SSEC
-0.26
9.56
India
INR=IN
-0.05
+0.77
.NSEI
-0.13
-2.59
Indonesia
IDR=
–
+4.89
.JKSE
–
-0.42
Malaysia
MYR=
+0.07
-0.65
.KLSE
-0.40
-4.60
Philippines
PHP=
+0.15
-0.70
.PSI
-0.56
-2.10
S.Korea
KRW=KFTC
-0.16
-4.26
.KS11
0.13
15.12
Singapore
SGD=
-0.11
+0.43
.STI
0.30
2.10
Taiwan
TWD=TP
-0.07
+0.52
.TWII
-0.62
11.55
Thailand
THB=TH
-0.41
+0.46
.SETI
-0.36
-4.82
Graphic: World FX rates https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E
Asian stock marketshttps://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4
(Reporting by Harish Sridharan in Bengaluru)
((Harish.Sridharan@thomsonreuters.com; Twitter: https://twitter.com/damnit_saladin;))
The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.
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